MyDD :: Kerry will win Alabama!

Kerry will win Alabama!

by Geotpf, Thu Sep 02, 2004 at 01:59:34 PM EST

(Geotpf is right. According to the latest poll from Alabama, conducted by Capital Survey Research Center/Alabama Education Association, (Aug. 30-31, 2004, N=482 likely voters statewide, MoE ± 4.5), Kerry leads 34-1-1 over Nader and Moore, with 63% undecided.--Chris)

I think he can defeat Nader, Badnarik, Cobb, and Peroutka easily. See, you have to have a nominee before August 31 to get on the Alabama ballot, according to: http://www.electoral-vote.com/ , and Bush wasn't nominated by that time. So Bush is off the ballot, so Kerry wins! Yeahhh!

(Of course I'm kidding-I'm sure, just like in Illinois, they will change the rules to let Bush get on the ballot. Hell, the rules don't apply to Republicans, anyways, right?)

Update (Chris): Okay, apparently Alabama has changed the law to accommodate the extremely late GOP convention. It certainly would have been nice if the Bush campaign had been forced to spend resources in order to win Alabama as a write-in campaign, however.

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They'll just write him in.... (none / 0)

If, by some miracle, Bush isn't on the ballot, the Alabama Republican party will just send out mailings to all the registered Republicans there reminding them to write in President Bush. He may win by a smaller margin that way, but he'll still win; he leads Kerry by about twenty percent in that backward backwater of the deep south. Of course, it would be nice if his campaign or the RNC had to waste some money there, but I doubt we'd even get that benefit; the state-level party organization would probably be adequate to the task.
Later,
Alex

by Anonymous Citizen on Thu Sep 02, 2004 at 02:37:56 PM EST

Not quite true. (none / 0)

According to the website for Alabama's Secretary of State the filing deadline is Sept 6 and not Aug 31.

http://www.sos.state.al.us/downloads/dl3.cfm?trgturl=election/2004/pba-2004.pdf&trgtfile=pba-200 4.pdf

He should make that safely.

by Anonymous Citizen on Thu Sep 02, 2004 at 02:57:16 PM EST

Re: Not quite true. (none / 0)

Good find. I didn't have another source for this info (although I looked)-but I remembered what happened in Illinois.

Actually, according to that, it looks like any party that got 20% last time automatically gets on the ballot anyways, so my theory was wrong.

Does this make me a flip flopper for admitting I was wrong?

by Geotpf on Thu Sep 02, 2004 at 03:40:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not quite true. (none / 0)

Yes, you clearly are a flip-flopper because you thought it was the 31st before you thought it was the 6th.

For future reference, the correct approach is to claim despite all evidence that you always believed it was the 6th. That's what W does.

by Anonymous Citizen on Thu Sep 02, 2004 at 03:46:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

September 6th is the deadline (none / 0)

September 6th is the filing deadline; see Alabama Code §17-19-2:

http://www.legislature.state.al.us/CodeofAlabama/1975/17-19-2.htm

The interesting thing is that the deadline was the last day of August. The deadline was changed to September 6th in the 2003 regular session of the Alabama legislature. The bills to change the deadline (HB127 and SB322) were introduced in March 2003 by Rep. Mike Hubbard and Sen. J.T. Waggoner. Both are Republicans.

This indicates to me that Karl Rove's plan to use September 11th as the backdrop for the RNC goes back at least to March 2003.

by kenfair on Thu Sep 02, 2004 at 03:38:43 PM EST

Re: September 6th is the deadline (none / 0)

Ok, gotcha. I was wondering where they got the Aug. 31 date from.

by Geotpf on Thu Sep 02, 2004 at 03:41:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kerry will win Alabama! (none / 0)

old news. this was a story about 6 months ago. you guys really keep up, don't you?

by Anonymous Citizen on Fri Sep 03, 2004 at 01:05:16 AM EST

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